Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–12 on winners spread MAE 9.7 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Santa Clara @ Saint Louis -1.4 148.4 44% 70–71 ✗
Georgetown @ Dayton -1.4 140.4 41% 79–84 ✗
Duke @ Arkansas -10.4 150.0 18% 80–71 ✓
Wichita State @ Colorado State -2.9 141.0 37% 70–76 ✗
Stanford @ Minnesota -1.8 138.7 42% 72–68 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Northwestern +6.1 151.4 69% 86–81 ✗
Virginia Tech @ VCU +1.7 145.2 53% 68–86 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Purdue +24.7 136.5 91% 62–109 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb -5.8 135.0 26% 76–68 ✓
Northeastern @ Wake Forest +15.9 144.8 88% 73–86 ✓
Illinois @ UConn -1.0 146.3 48% 61–74 ✗
Richmond @ Charlotte -4.6 141.9 29% 71–66 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Vanderbilt +0.9 150.4 58% 71–96 ✓
Longwood @ Siena +6.0 143.2 75% 63–70 ✓
San Francisco @ Nevada -2.7 142.6 39% 65–81 ✗
Indiana State @ Alcorn State -8.2 138.3 20% 74–81 ✗
Cleveland State @ Missouri +25.0 161.3 91% 59–86 ✓
Texas State @ Seattle U +6.2 133.9 74% 52–66 ✓
Southern Utah @ Robert Morris +16.5 150.9 90% 54–61 ✓
Oklahoma @ Marquette -4.5 151.2 30% 75–74 ✓
Monmouth @ Ball State -6.2 130.5 25% 80–73 ✓
Hofstra @ La Salle -3.7 139.9 35% 63–58 ✓
Wright State @ Butler +14.8 143.5 87% 69–94 ✓
Providence @ Florida +7.2 160.5 73% 78–90 ✓
Furman @ Illinois State +6.9 136.1 75% 65–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ Arkansas State +1.6 145.9 59% 80–85 ✓
Nicholls @ Tulane +4.6 145.7 66% 72–82 ✓
Chicago State @ Youngstown State +11.7 144.4 86% 64–87 ✓
Navy @ UNC Wilmington +4.6 136.2 69% 57–87 ✓
Maine @ American University +4.8 135.6 67% 61–74 ✓
NJIT @ Eastern Michigan +11.8 135.7 86% 55–73 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Davidson +7.1 142.9 77% 74–90 ✓
Charleston Southern @ South Carolina +13.7 149.7 87% 62–74 ✓
Queens University @ Virginia +17.0 158.1 89% 69–94 ✓
Colorado State @ South Florida +3.5 154.8 68% 83–68 ✗
Washington @ Colorado -1.2 150.8 50% 68–81 ✗
UC Santa Barbara @ Lehigh -4.8 144.0 31% 72–70 ✓
Le Moyne @ Lafayette +0.5 146.4 46% 76–63 ✗
Merrimack @ Pennsylvania +6.8 144.5 74% 65–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida State +7.0 159.6 75% 95–59 ✗
Wisconsin @ TCU -2.1 148.0 39% 63–74 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Xavier +9.3 137.2 79% 67–88 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Idaho State +3.3 142.5 63% 50–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.