And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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27–13 on winners spread MAE 12.9 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas @ Tennessee +1.8 137.2 60% 81–76 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Kentucky +22.0 144.3 90% 54–104 ✓
Houston Christian @ The Citadel -3.2 136.0 32% 72–65 ✓
Pepperdine @ Fresno State +1.6 141.3 59% 53–76 ✓
SE Louisiana @ UNC Wilmington +11.9 135.5 85% 57–70 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.7 161.1 78% 102–100 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Cincinnati +14.4 137.0 88% 64–56 ✗
Columbia @ Fairfield +4.1 142.2 64% 106–77 ✗
Rhode Island @ Temple -6.7 144.6 23% 90–75 ✓
Indiana State @ Louisiana Tech +0.6 126.1 45% 73–75 ✓
St. John's @ Auburn -7.1 163.9 27% 74–85 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Wichita State -1.8 139.8 40% 70–65 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Memphis +3.1 151.3 60% 58–74 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Northern Arizona +3.3 147.8 64% 72–79 ✓
South Dakota State @ UC Irvine -2.3 132.7 39% 52–64 ✗
Denver @ Wyoming +13.0 149.7 86% 59–101 ✓
NJIT @ Louisville +24.7 150.9 91% 47–104 ✓
Alabama State @ New Mexico +10.2 143.0 83% 87–93 ✓
Idaho @ Cal State Northridge -3.3 149.1 39% 78–64 ✓
Gonzaga @ Michigan -1.8 149.6 41% 61–101 ✗
NC State @ Texas -6.1 155.0 24% 97–102 ✗
Iowa @ Grand Canyon -7.8 141.1 21% 59–46 ✓
Long Beach State @ Portland +4.8 140.4 64% 73–93 ✓
Baylor @ San Diego State -2.2 157.6 40% 91–81 ✓
Maryland @ Alabama +13.4 162.9 84% 72–105 ✓
Utah @ Ole Miss +6.7 145.9 78% 75–74 ✗
Richmond @ Furman -8.0 143.1 20% 72–73 ✗
VCU @ Vanderbilt +1.9 154.1 64% 74–89 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ East Carolina -10.0 145.9 17% 67–58 ✓
Charlotte @ Illinois State +4.0 135.0 64% 69–79 ✓
Oregon @ Creighton +4.1 140.4 67% 66–76 ✓
San Francisco @ Colorado +0.3 151.5 58% 69–79 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Virginia Tech -1.3 144.6 47% 77–66 ✓
TCU @ Florida +5.8 141.8 75% 84–80 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +1.3 140.1 56% 74–58 ✗
UNLV @ Rutgers -1.0 147.7 43% 65–80 ✗
Nevada @ Washington +4.4 143.6 65% 66–83 ✓
BYU @ Miami -0.0 153.5 49% 72–62 ✓
South Florida @ Western Kentucky -2.5 160.6 43% 97–91 ✓
Providence @ Wisconsin +2.4 162.7 55% 83–104 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.