Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–12 on winners spread MAE 10.1 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota @ Western Illinois +0.2 132.9 42% 78–69 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Marshall +11.2 139.6 85% 60–69 ✓
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee -4.5 156.8 34% 87–90 ✗
Akron @ Evansville -14.2 153.8 15% 97–59 ✓
Winthrop @ Jackson State -11.4 160.8 16% 80–62 ✓
Utah State @ Davidson -3.6 135.1 33% 94–60 ✓
Toledo @ Troy +5.8 160.8 72% 75–68 ✗
Rhode Island @ Towson -5.1 132.4 24% 55–62 ✗
Stony Brook @ Pacific -0.6 136.8 46% 58–86 ✗
Bucknell @ Bowling Green +9.9 143.3 84% 66–71 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.2 145.5 56% 70–65 ✗
Massachusetts @ Oregon State -0.8 143.1 40% 73–65 ✓
Rutgers @ Tennessee +11.3 137.2 83% 60–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Belmont +16.8 148.7 87% 57–94 ✓
UAB @ Southern Illinois -1.5 157.8 34% 81–73 ✓
Liberty @ Vermont -1.3 150.4 41% 79–73 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bethune-Cookman +0.6 140.4 46% 69–64 ✗
Creighton @ Baylor +0.3 149.6 40% 74–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ NC State +8.1 139.4 74% 85–74 ✗
VMI @ Buffalo +12.7 143.7 84% 70–78 ✓
Green Bay @ Iona +2.4 153.6 63% 80–75 ✗
Grambling @ UC Riverside +7.3 143.0 77% 74–83 ✓
Notre Dame @ Kansas +5.5 138.3 70% 61–71 ✓
William & Mary @ UTEP -8.1 138.0 24% 74–63 ✓
Oakland @ Lamar +7.1 145.6 77% 83–68 ✗
Iowa State @ St. John's -0.4 155.7 50% 83–82 ✓
Rice @ Kennesaw State +5.8 150.6 70% 84–89 ✓
Temple @ UC San Diego +4.1 141.0 68% 76–91 ✓
USC @ Boise State -2.3 156.3 48% 70–67 ✓
George Washington @ Middle Tennessee -8.8 150.1 21% 92–79 ✓
Charleston @ Evansville -2.8 138.7 37% 78–59 ✓
Syracuse @ Houston +3.6 131.9 68% 74–78 ✓
George Mason @ Ohio -11.7 139.1 16% 92–69 ✓
Siena @ Holy Cross -5.8 131.2 24% 73–69 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Youngstown State -1.2 153.1 47% 61–67 ✗
Elon @ App State +2.5 149.6 62% 88–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.