In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–14 on winners spread MAE 10.4 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Louisville +23.0 155.7 90% 46–87 ✓
James Madison @ Florida International +4.0 149.6 68% 80–72 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +10.0 148.0 85% 71–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ The Citadel +3.1 155.7 71% 70–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Lindenwood +4.6 150.8 62% 67–80 ✓
NJIT @ Cincinnati +18.7 139.7 90% 67–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +9.4 140.7 81% 106–108 ✓
Princeton @ Bradley +0.6 137.5 63% 64–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Florida Gulf Coast +12.1 155.3 86% 88–93 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Mississippi State +6.1 151.7 81% 78–81 ✓
Murray State @ McNeese +3.8 161.1 66% 60–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois +25.4 161.8 91% 73–87 ✓
Auburn @ Oregon -6.4 148.2 25% 84–73 ✓
Yale @ Akron +0.9 152.5 50% 97–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State +4.8 148.1 74% 63–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona -1.2 145.9 40% 87–93 ✗
Radford @ SMU +21.9 157.8 90% 72–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri State +4.0 143.4 75% 75–61 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Loyola Marymount -0.9 141.8 40% 76–65 ✓
UTSA @ Abilene Christian -0.3 133.6 47% 50–61 ✗
Louisiana @ UC Davis +11.1 133.0 84% 56–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama -5.7 159.5 32% 95–85 ✓
Denver @ Arizona +21.3 147.2 90% 73–103 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +4.4 155.7 68% 54–94 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas +5.1 138.4 68% 87–86 ✗
UNLV @ Maryland -0.1 159.9 57% 67–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ Bethune-Cookman +1.5 144.3 54% 61–54 ✗
Towson @ Liberty +4.6 127.1 65% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ East Carolina -17.0 141.6 12% 89–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Notre Dame +6.0 138.3 74% 63–68 ✓
Pacific @ Jacksonville -0.4 131.7 52% 68–53 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Delaware -0.7 144.9 48% 60–73 ✗
Tulsa @ San José State -7.7 144.3 25% 81–51 ✓
Creighton @ Iowa State +7.8 146.2 77% 60–78 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Army -3.5 140.9 34% 84–67 ✓
NC State @ Boise State -2.8 145.6 40% 81–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Vermont -0.8 145.9 40% 80–65 ✓
Samford @ Georgia State -8.0 141.5 23% 78–63 ✓
Syracuse @ Kansas +2.9 139.0 65% 60–71 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +10.4 133.2 84% 59–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago -12.5 130.7 17% 72–51 ✓
St. John's @ Baylor -5.4 160.0 26% 96–81 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Oral Roberts -8.0 160.9 21% 83–91 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Ohio -9.0 141.8 21% 70–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Bradley -5.6 140.7 30% 87–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ McNeese +6.4 147.3 75% 62–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ USC +1.0 144.7 55% 81–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Houston -0.3 130.6 53% 76–73 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina +8.6 145.8 75% 70–85 ✓
Utah Valley @ South Dakota State +6.8 144.7 77% 75–52 ✗
Drexel @ Morgan State -2.6 140.3 41% 71–66 ✓
Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville +4.0 142.9 68% 75–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Abilene Christian -6.0 140.3 31% 92–58 ✓
San Diego @ California Baptist +8.4 136.8 78% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio State +21.9 142.5 90% 60–113 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.