You have to let that raga drop. "Rock the Casbah" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–10 on winners spread MAE 9.6 39 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Alabama State @ Cincinnati +24.2 147.0 91% 59–77 ✓
South Carolina State @ Marshall +5.4 140.7 68% 53–82 ✓
Colgate @ UNC Wilmington +8.5 142.6 76% 72–59 ✗
Milwaukee @ UCF +8.3 151.5 81% 76–84 ✓
Cornell @ Syracuse +5.9 160.5 73% 72–82 ✓
Rider @ Villanova +9.8 136.5 77% 48–72 ✓
UTEP @ UNC Greensboro +0.4 133.7 47% 64–58 ✗
Utah Valley @ Samford +3.4 161.0 66% 76–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Georgia Tech +9.3 146.9 82% 67–91 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Little Rock +18.1 139.3 89% 59–78 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Saint Louis +5.5 157.7 76% 90–93 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Houston Christian -0.5 132.6 42% 74–71 ✓
Arizona @ Davidson -1.5 153.6 41% 104–71 ✓
Xavier @ Michigan -0.0 143.4 48% 53–78 ✗
Wyoming @ Loyola Marymount +1.2 136.5 53% 70–73 ✓
Stonehill @ Marquette +24.6 140.3 90% 59–94 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana -5.3 152.2 38% 75–83 ✗
Michigan State @ North Carolina +4.7 154.6 63% 94–91 ✗
SMU @ Washington State +0.1 157.6 54% 77–60 ✗
Alabama @ Rutgers -10.1 163.7 20% 95–90 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Pacific +17.6 147.5 90% 71–83 ✓
San José State @ Long Beach State -8.2 127.0 21% 82–66 ✓
Mercyhurst @ California +15.2 137.3 85% 55–81 ✓
UConn @ Dayton -2.7 147.7 42% 67–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Fresno State -1.4 148.5 47% 86–81 ✓
Houston @ Notre Dame -12.1 140.6 19% 65–54 ✓
West Virginia @ Louisville +0.7 145.9 59% 70–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Wichita State +4.4 130.1 73% 66–68 ✓
UT Arlington @ Rhode Island +10.0 155.8 81% 78–83 ✓
Gonzaga @ Indiana -11.7 151.1 16% 89–73 ✓
Florida @ Wake Forest -11.5 144.6 17% 75–58 ✓
NC State @ Purdue +2.0 141.9 63% 61–71 ✓
Utah Valley @ North Dakota State -4.9 148.2 29% 63–83 ✗
Illinois @ Arkansas -3.1 147.3 37% 90–77 ✓
Santa Clara @ TCU +5.3 142.8 72% 69–52 ✗
Arizona @ Oklahoma +0.5 151.4 56% 77–82 ✓
BYU @ Ole Miss -0.0 147.4 55% 85–96 ✗
Utah State @ St. Bonaventure -3.4 147.3 44% 72–67 ✓
Washington @ Colorado State -0.4 143.6 49% 73–67 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.