Four young chiquitas in Omaha waitin' for the band to return from the show. "We're an American Band" - Grand Funk Railroad
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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48–19 on winners spread MAE 10.0 67 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Carolina @ Florida State +21.8 141.4 90% 57–91 ✓
Lehigh @ Saint Francis +6.0 141.5 69% 78–88 ✓
VMI @ Loyola Maryland +4.7 142.5 69% 67–70 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -5.0 140.7 27% 78–76 ✓
Stanford @ Grand Canyon -8.0 145.9 21% 71–78 ✗
Wagner @ Georgetown +10.5 122.2 78% 41–66 ✓
Manhattan @ Virginia +7.6 129.6 78% 65–74 ✓
Coppin State @ Saint Joseph's +19.7 136.5 91% 54–83 ✓
Boise State @ Boston College -6.9 145.1 29% 61–63 ✗
North Dakota State @ Samford +10.2 155.7 82% 98–103 ✓
Alabama @ Houston +3.1 146.2 51% 85–80 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Alabama +13.5 129.7 80% 64–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Iowa +25.9 158.8 91% 77–110 ✓
Long Beach State @ UTEP +4.5 134.1 67% 44–70 ✓
Iowa State @ Dayton -1.3 144.8 50% 89–84 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Belmont +5.5 144.3 67% 77–63 ✗
Kansas @ Duke +8.1 146.5 69% 75–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +7.2 135.0 74% 72–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Montana State +6.9 140.7 75% 59–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Utah +40.6 140.8 91% 48–94 ✓
California Baptist @ SMU +8.0 154.9 79% 77–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Arizona +0.8 131.8 52% 72–68 ✗
Grambling @ Cal Poly +6.5 147.8 76% 79–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ UC Santa Barbara +9.5 149.0 83% 51–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ UCLA +18.4 138.4 87% 43–88 ✓
Notre Dame @ Rutgers -1.8 150.5 42% 84–85 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ San José State -7.6 131.1 25% 64–69 ✗
Auburn @ North Carolina -1.9 163.3 41% 85–72 ✓
Furman @ Seattle U -2.1 137.1 34% 61–56 ✓
Fresno State @ Washington State +6.7 153.3 74% 73–84 ✓
Louisville @ Indiana -1.4 145.2 41% 89–61 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +3.0 143.8 61% 69–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ Detroit Mercy -15.4 146.8 13% 81–75 ✓
Morgan State @ UMBC +6.1 151.8 73% 69–92 ✓
SE Louisiana @ North Dakota -2.4 138.2 38% 76–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Charleston +7.2 139.6 71% 64–79 ✓
UTSA @ Merrimack -1.1 130.4 37% 76–74 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Baylor +28.3 156.2 91% 60–91 ✓
Bryant @ Chattanooga +3.3 152.5 67% 76–84 ✓
Stony Brook @ Brown +14.4 142.4 85% 54–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Youngstown State +6.7 141.7 60% 73–62 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Charlotte +4.5 144.0 66% 75–55 ✗
Presbyterian @ Tennessee Tech -0.3 139.3 44% 75–90 ✗
Gonzaga @ West Virginia -11.4 149.3 19% 78–86 ✗
Colorado @ Iowa State +2.3 142.7 61% 71–99 ✓
Tulsa @ Georgia State +1.2 149.0 52% 71–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Bethune-Cookman -4.3 139.9 37% 79–64 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee +29.3 136.6 90% 35–78 ✓
NJIT @ Morehead State +5.1 128.2 64% 78–69 ✗
West Georgia @ North Dakota State +4.0 139.2 64% 61–73 ✓
Sam Houston @ App State -6.9 142.5 31% 63–66 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Valparaiso +9.6 139.0 84% 82–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ Air Force +4.6 125.6 45% 63–61 ✗
San Diego State @ Oregon +3.1 137.5 67% 68–78 ✓
Massachusetts @ Harvard +4.1 149.8 60% 62–54 ✗
Canisius @ Robert Morris +20.6 138.2 90% 64–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Maryland +24.3 147.9 90% 67–91 ✓
Memphis @ Auburn +2.5 153.1 57% 76–90 ✓
UT Arlington @ Austin Peay +5.3 140.2 67% 68–58 ✗
Providence @ Oklahoma +2.0 129.1 67% 77–79 ✓
Ball State @ Richmond +1.8 135.8 57% 60–73 ✓
South Carolina @ Virginia Tech -3.7 139.1 36% 70–60 ✓
Tulane @ Belmont +1.0 148.7 54% 66–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Western Illinois -3.8 134.6 32% 86–75 ✓
Creighton @ Texas A&M +5.0 139.7 71% 73–77 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri +31.2 151.3 91% 61–81 ✓
South Dakota @ Nebraska +16.7 154.0 87% 79–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.