I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–12 on winners spread MAE 10.6 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Dakota @ Western Illinois +1.3 136.5 47% 78–69 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Marshall +10.4 139.2 79% 60–69 ✓
Murray State @ Middle Tennessee -6.1 157.0 30% 87–90 ✗
Akron @ Evansville -12.7 151.1 16% 97–59 ✓
Winthrop @ Jackson State -9.7 158.4 17% 80–62 ✓
Utah State @ Davidson -0.2 134.1 45% 94–60 ✓
Toledo @ Troy +5.8 159.7 68% 75–68 ✗
Rhode Island @ Towson -6.2 127.6 29% 55–62 ✗
Stony Brook @ Pacific -0.7 140.6 44% 58–86 ✗
Bucknell @ Bowling Green +12.6 145.7 86% 66–71 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.4 150.2 57% 70–65 ✗
Massachusetts @ Oregon State -1.7 146.8 41% 73–65 ✓
Rutgers @ Tennessee +11.6 137.6 82% 60–85 ✓
Saint Francis @ Belmont +18.5 148.5 83% 57–94 ✓
UAB @ Southern Illinois -2.0 157.2 41% 81–73 ✓
Liberty @ Vermont -1.7 157.0 58% 79–73 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bethune-Cookman +1.8 143.9 58% 69–64 ✗
Creighton @ Baylor +0.1 149.6 46% 74–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ NC State +6.4 140.8 73% 85–74 ✗
VMI @ Buffalo +14.9 143.2 86% 70–78 ✓
Green Bay @ Iona +2.7 150.4 63% 80–75 ✗
Grambling @ UC Riverside +4.9 143.0 71% 74–83 ✓
Notre Dame @ Kansas +6.0 140.4 64% 61–71 ✓
William & Mary @ UTEP -8.3 138.0 20% 74–63 ✓
Oakland @ Lamar +6.6 147.3 76% 83–68 ✗
Iowa State @ St. John's -0.6 158.4 50% 83–82 ✓
Rice @ Kennesaw State +5.1 152.5 68% 84–89 ✓
Temple @ UC San Diego +1.7 144.5 61% 76–91 ✓
USC @ Boise State -2.2 154.0 43% 70–67 ✓
George Washington @ Middle Tennessee -9.6 152.0 20% 92–79 ✓
Charleston @ Evansville -1.9 139.7 42% 78–59 ✓
Syracuse @ Houston +1.4 127.6 57% 74–78 ✓
George Mason @ Ohio -10.0 138.7 20% 92–69 ✓
Siena @ Holy Cross -4.4 132.1 29% 73–69 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Youngstown State -1.5 153.4 41% 61–67 ✗
Elon @ App State +3.4 147.2 65% 88–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.