And I'm so pilled up that I rattle. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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42–13 on winners spread MAE 10.8 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Louisville +24.1 154.7 90% 46–87 ✓
James Madison @ Florida International +6.2 152.1 70% 80–72 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +12.6 145.3 86% 71–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ The Citadel +4.3 158.9 69% 70–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Lindenwood +6.2 147.2 69% 67–80 ✓
NJIT @ Cincinnati +16.0 138.0 88% 67–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +11.1 133.7 82% 106–108 ✓
Princeton @ Bradley +1.4 137.2 59% 64–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Florida Gulf Coast +13.3 155.8 86% 88–93 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Mississippi State +2.0 153.7 63% 78–81 ✓
Murray State @ McNeese +3.1 162.4 59% 60–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois +26.4 155.2 91% 73–87 ✓
Auburn @ Oregon -6.3 148.9 28% 84–73 ✓
Yale @ Akron +1.2 153.0 56% 97–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State +4.2 146.5 72% 63–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona -0.4 146.1 50% 87–93 ✗
Radford @ SMU +29.5 154.3 91% 72–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri State +4.5 143.2 68% 75–61 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Loyola Marymount -1.5 144.3 55% 76–65 ✓
UTSA @ Abilene Christian -0.5 136.4 51% 50–61 ✗
Louisiana @ UC Davis +11.2 133.6 84% 56–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama -6.0 162.4 30% 95–85 ✓
Denver @ Arizona +19.5 146.0 88% 73–103 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +5.0 153.4 69% 54–94 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas +4.4 140.2 64% 87–86 ✗
UNLV @ Maryland -0.1 164.3 51% 67–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ Bethune-Cookman +1.4 146.2 59% 61–54 ✗
Towson @ Liberty +5.0 125.6 56% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ East Carolina -16.6 141.7 13% 89–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Notre Dame +6.5 139.3 74% 63–68 ✓
Pacific @ Jacksonville -2.1 133.0 38% 68–53 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Delaware +0.6 143.7 52% 60–73 ✓
Tulsa @ San José State -8.4 144.3 21% 81–51 ✓
Creighton @ Iowa State +7.7 147.6 77% 60–78 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Army -3.1 141.0 36% 84–67 ✓
NC State @ Boise State -2.6 149.0 39% 81–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Vermont -1.0 147.7 43% 80–65 ✓
Samford @ Georgia State -7.1 139.7 31% 78–63 ✓
Syracuse @ Kansas +2.2 137.3 59% 60–71 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +8.5 136.5 79% 59–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago -13.8 129.1 14% 72–51 ✓
St. John's @ Baylor -6.5 159.1 30% 96–81 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Oral Roberts -6.6 160.2 27% 83–91 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Ohio -7.9 142.9 21% 70–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Bradley -4.3 141.8 36% 87–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ McNeese +6.9 150.7 73% 62–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ USC +0.1 145.2 49% 81–83 ✓
Tennessee @ Houston -0.2 131.0 47% 76–73 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina +5.2 144.9 66% 70–85 ✓
Utah Valley @ South Dakota State +7.8 148.3 79% 75–52 ✗
Drexel @ Morgan State -0.4 145.4 46% 71–66 ✓
Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville +3.9 149.3 68% 75–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Abilene Christian -6.2 139.2 28% 92–58 ✓
San Diego @ California Baptist +7.6 135.5 79% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio State +24.0 144.9 90% 60–113 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.