I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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55–16 on winners spread MAE 7.5 71 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Boston University @ Merrimack +5.8 128.0 74% 61–64 ✓
Army @ George Washington +10.8 156.7 87% 60–75 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Louisiana Tech +13.5 145.2 86% 63–77 ✓
North Dakota @ UTSA +5.4 148.0 68% 76–80 ✓
Indiana @ Nebraska +3.0 150.2 73% 68–85 ✓
Omaha @ Northern Iowa +14.2 137.0 86% 58–78 ✓
Western Michigan @ St. Thomas +11.9 147.8 83% 71–77 ✓
Weber State @ Utah Tech +0.1 141.2 46% 73–71 ✗
South Dakota State @ Colorado +8.1 142.2 80% 70–81 ✓
Memphis @ Clemson +7.9 140.2 81% 87–82 ✗
Texas A&M @ Purdue +0.7 137.6 50% 70–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +8.2 153.4 81% 66–89 ✓
South Carolina State @ Furman +11.4 137.2 84% 64–68 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri +22.1 145.9 90% 61–88 ✓
Coppin State @ Penn State +26.2 144.7 91% 51–99 ✓
Ohio State @ Auburn +7.6 150.8 74% 53–91 ✓
Toledo @ Youngstown State +3.3 149.0 65% 87–93 ✓
Lamar @ Louisiana -4.7 139.1 33% 74–45 ✓
Wichita State @ DePaul +5.0 153.2 68% 72–91 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Jacksonville +0.0 143.5 54% 52–60 ✓
Maine @ Canisius -7.9 137.7 20% 84–79 ✓
Stony Brook @ Rider +7.3 130.6 72% 72–55 ✗
Xavier @ Cincinnati +9.8 138.7 79% 65–68 ✓
Murray State @ Western Kentucky +2.8 141.7 68% 76–81 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +10.2 149.1 81% 75–88 ✓
Texas State @ Florida Atlantic +8.8 147.5 79% 80–89 ✓
Charlotte @ Georgia State +1.0 140.9 57% 77–63 ✗
Dartmouth @ UMass Lowell +11.3 155.4 85% 83–92 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +6.7 142.9 80% 77–70 ✗
App State @ High Point +2.1 133.0 61% 59–65 ✓
Western Carolina @ UNC Asheville +9.7 147.3 80% 61–78 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ South Carolina +21.6 150.6 91% 53–73 ✓
Queens University @ Gardner-Webb +8.3 152.0 77% 85–83 ✗
Fordham @ Bryant +1.2 153.9 51% 86–84 ✗
Georgetown @ Syracuse +3.5 151.2 54% 75–71 ✗
Wisconsin @ Butler -2.9 145.1 34% 83–74 ✓
UCLA @ Arizona -1.2 139.8 48% 57–54 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Howard -4.3 140.8 31% 83–88 ✗
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +13.1 146.5 86% 68–77 ✓
Ball State @ Bellarmine +0.8 143.9 40% 86–82 ✗
Northwestern State @ California +11.7 140.6 86% 66–84 ✓
Seton Hall @ Rutgers +9.9 133.0 81% 63–66 ✓
NC State @ Kansas +12.1 139.3 86% 60–75 ✓
Arizona State @ Florida +6.6 148.6 74% 66–83 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +16.3 148.0 88% 46–77 ✓
Central Michigan @ Valparaiso -2.1 140.9 59% 77–93 ✗
South Florida @ Utah State +16.1 149.6 89% 67–88 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT -1.3 119.8 33% 50–43 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Arkansas +18.2 148.3 89% 57–82 ✓
Ohio @ Marshall +3.6 151.5 69% 70–79 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pepperdine +3.0 141.0 61% 76–86 ✓
LSU @ SMU +1.5 154.3 58% 64–74 ✓
La Salle @ North Carolina +15.9 160.5 87% 67–93 ✓
Florida International @ Stetson -4.3 144.8 27% 81–72 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Lindenwood +2.5 142.0 57% 63–81 ✓
Bradley @ Santa Clara -1.6 142.0 42% 74–84 ✗
Tulane @ Florida State +8.8 145.1 79% 64–77 ✓
Utah Valley @ Jacksonville State +2.6 142.2 60% 66–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Washington State +12.8 150.0 86% 78–91 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Austin Peay +0.3 134.3 48% 65–60 ✗
UC Irvine @ Oregon State +4.2 129.6 75% 55–67 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ North Florida +1.3 149.6 53% 77–89 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ West Virginia +20.2 144.2 90% 61–84 ✓
Louisville @ Kentucky +15.0 159.6 87% 85–93 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Providence -1.9 127.6 40% 74–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Illinois +2.2 139.8 43% 66–64 ✗
McNeese @ Mississippi State +8.7 139.9 80% 63–66 ✓
Towson @ Duquesne -0.4 127.3 50% 47–65 ✗
Saint Francis @ Niagara +2.8 137.7 71% 66–69 ✓
Belmont @ Richmond -2.1 151.6 36% 93–86 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Georgia +8.7 144.9 80% 68–73 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.