I just keep on rolling along with the grace of the Lord above. "Heartbreaker" - Led Zeppelin
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–24 on winners spread MAE 9.4 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgia State @ Kentucky +28.0 155.6 90% 76–105 ✓
Seattle U @ Duke +20.6 141.9 90% 48–70 ✓
UNLV @ Northwestern +2.1 134.1 60% 61–66 ✓
North Florida @ SIU Edwardsville +2.1 147.5 54% 78–73 ✗
Le Moyne @ Manhattan +5.6 141.6 74% 81–77 ✗
Rice @ Hofstra -1.7 135.0 41% 63–68 ✗
Florida A&M @ Clemson +28.1 146.8 91% 58–86 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UL Monroe +3.1 125.2 46% 68–60 ✗
Towson @ Kennesaw State +1.6 138.0 59% 63–67 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Texas Tech +10.3 155.8 83% 64–89 ✓
Northwestern State @ LSU +13.3 141.9 84% 53–77 ✓
Davidson @ Gonzaga +14.7 157.0 86% 65–90 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Northern Iowa -4.8 138.5 31% 68–56 ✓
Delaware State @ Texas +29.0 141.7 91% 68–90 ✓
Butler @ Mississippi State +5.6 145.3 67% 87–77 ✗
Saint Mary's @ Arizona State -1.0 144.6 47% 64–68 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ UC Santa Barbara +33.7 136.0 91% 48–81 ✓
UC Irvine @ Kent State -6.2 128.0 28% 51–39 ✓
USC @ New Mexico +7.1 149.9 74% 73–83 ✓
Southern @ Louisiana Tech +15.0 147.0 85% 73–70 ✗
Colgate @ Sam Houston +3.1 139.0 65% 78–82 ✓
Monmouth @ Seton Hall +12.4 125.5 74% 63–51 ✗
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +33.5 148.1 91% 53–74 ✓
Creighton @ Notre Dame +1.2 142.7 58% 80–76 ✗
Campbell @ Green Bay +5.7 147.5 67% 72–66 ✗
Northeastern @ Vermont -2.6 131.4 38% 64–68 ✗
Central Arkansas @ Georgia Tech +10.3 150.8 85% 68–87 ✓
Western Carolina @ Marquette +29.8 147.1 91% 62–94 ✓
New Mexico State @ Bowling Green -3.0 141.2 40% 60–61 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Howard +4.0 144.6 64% 79–75 ✗
Purdue Fort Wayne @ East Texas A&M -5.3 145.4 30% 77–57 ✓
Binghamton @ Long Island University +2.9 136.6 56% 75–70 ✗
Navy @ Elon +13.6 149.0 86% 63–69 ✓
Robert Morris @ Ohio +2.6 143.6 52% 68–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Coastal Carolina +10.3 144.2 80% 51–73 ✓
Iona @ Indiana State +5.1 144.4 72% 80–83 ✓
Milwaukee @ Southern Miss -1.5 151.2 47% 65–66 ✗
Charleston Southern @ Miami +16.5 149.0 84% 83–79 ✗
Delaware @ Rider +4.8 139.7 69% 72–66 ✗
Nicholls @ Louisiana -0.5 146.7 34% 76–75 ✓
App State @ UNC Wilmington +2.5 135.2 57% 61–76 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ Montana State +1.8 152.2 51% 72–69 ✗
Texas A&M @ Rutgers -4.0 148.5 30% 81–77 ✓
Austin Peay @ East Tennessee State +6.6 134.0 75% 57–79 ✓
Houston Christian @ UTSA +7.7 143.1 70% 71–78 ✓
UAlbany @ Georgetown +7.2 137.7 78% 68–100 ✓
Temple @ La Salle +3.5 151.9 67% 75–83 ✓
Weber State @ Pepperdine +0.8 143.0 53% 68–53 ✗
Niagara @ Lafayette +6.4 141.9 68% 47–59 ✓
Maine @ Pennsylvania -8.0 138.0 21% 64–77 ✗
Prairie View A&M @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +12.4 168.2 88% 74–109 ✓
Hofstra @ Tarleton State -12.7 128.7 18% 59–61 ✗
UC Riverside @ Idaho -3.6 146.3 40% 68–80 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Utah +22.3 151.5 90% 80–88 ✓
Harvard @ St. John's +23.2 144.1 91% 64–77 ✓
Furman @ Kansas +9.9 136.2 76% 51–86 ✓
Bellarmine @ Northern Kentucky +4.4 135.1 57% 70–86 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Drake +15.8 141.4 84% 47–61 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Florida Atlantic +11.4 145.0 76% 80–78 ✗
Siena @ Bucknell +1.8 142.2 59% 71–58 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.