That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–6 on winners spread MAE 8.4 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ USC +11.0 141.2 83% 69–80 ✓
Denver @ Montana +5.5 141.9 65% 73–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Boston College +12.1 139.7 83% 52–82 ✓
Liberty @ Kansas State -6.4 133.1 27% 67–65 ✓
Ohio @ Texas State +1.6 146.1 60% 65–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ New Mexico +21.6 155.6 89% 68–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Montana State +12.3 148.6 85% 59–79 ✓
Drake @ Vanderbilt -0.7 136.5 42% 81–70 ✓
Radford @ Chicago State -13.9 144.9 14% 63–48 ✓
Hampton @ Duquesne -1.7 130.7 46% 64–59 ✓
Siena @ Miami (OH) +0.5 143.2 48% 58–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Ball State -8.8 144.1 29% 61–63 ✗
Howard @ UMBC -3.0 144.1 45% 77–95 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana -6.4 150.1 27% 98–86 ✓
Drexel @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.0 143.1 63% 81–87 ✓
Boise State @ South Dakota State -7.1 151.0 26% 83–82 ✓
Memphis @ UConn +2.5 144.3 49% 99–97 ✗
Illinois State @ George Washington +0.7 146.8 54% 64–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Louisiana Tech +5.5 143.9 64% 79–85 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama A&M +3.1 146.2 47% 88–83 ✗
Mercer @ Jacksonville +4.7 143.3 72% 90–89 ✗
Denver @ Cal State Northridge +9.2 149.7 79% 60–89 ✓
Penn State @ Fordham -14.0 155.2 14% 85–66 ✓
High Point @ Old Dominion -12.1 139.9 16% 73–67 ✓
Longwood @ Kansas State +0.0 139.4 50% 64–80 ✓
Colorado @ Michigan State +0.4 146.7 58% 56–72 ✓
Merrimack @ UMass Lowell +7.1 134.3 81% 74–81 ✓
Michigan @ Virginia Tech -7.6 138.2 22% 75–63 ✓
Long Island University @ Winthrop +3.4 146.7 72% 65–87 ✓
Clemson @ San Francisco +0.5 139.9 43% 70–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.