Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
← All models

Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
39–13 on winners spread MAE 9.4 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +8.4 149.0 78% 78–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill +8.2 135.4 79% 65–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +20.2 137.4 89% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo +1.5 157.8 59% 81–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State +26.3 152.0 90% 69–102 ✓
Cornell @ Iona +1.7 150.3 52% 84–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Boston College +0.4 144.7 52% 74–76 ✓
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.6 148.9 86% 77–97 ✓
Utah Tech @ Montana +9.1 147.6 78% 66–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas +30.8 143.2 90% 35–109 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana +6.3 152.8 73% 77–87 ✓
Oregon State @ North Texas +4.6 125.3 72% 55–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis +2.2 146.2 63% 67–81 ✓
UTSA @ Troy +13.2 145.0 85% 72–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama +6.1 137.3 77% 63–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian +0.5 130.2 44% 74–73 ✗
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +3.2 123.7 62% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Liberty +1.7 130.7 60% 58–62 ✓
Xavier @ South Carolina -1.3 145.7 41% 75–66 ✓
UTEP @ San José State -5.5 135.5 47% 65–71 ✗
Auburn @ Iowa State -7.4 144.4 18% 83–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss -2.9 143.0 34% 82–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis +5.9 144.5 73% 76–55 ✗
Little Rock @ Illinois +18.9 147.5 87% 34–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State -8.5 131.7 20% 71–48 ✓
Dayton @ North Carolina +8.0 153.3 75% 90–92 ✓
Drexel @ Chicago State -18.0 138.4 13% 83–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Siena -4.2 141.4 31% 75–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion -6.7 137.1 22% 67–54 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois -1.7 145.8 44% 77–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy +1.6 148.8 55% 63–44 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb +4.0 137.7 64% 69–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Fordham -8.8 137.7 20% 85–64 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer -3.7 148.3 34% 75–72 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +1.5 130.0 63% 73–76 ✓
Creighton @ San Diego State -1.9 140.4 38% 53–71 ✗
Georgia State @ Austin Peay +1.7 142.4 56% 50–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond -10.3 146.3 21% 65–62 ✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman -1.2 137.3 44% 67–79 ✗
UConn @ Colorado -6.6 147.2 30% 72–73 ✗
Clemson @ Penn State +1.8 148.6 52% 75–67 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech -1.6 145.6 48% 54–68 ✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State -7.1 158.4 20% 97–85 ✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley +15.3 141.3 87% 74–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon -2.4 142.3 45% 70–80 ✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State -2.2 153.9 40% 75–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State +9.6 149.0 77% 66–79 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan State -0.8 149.7 44% 71–63 ✓
NJIT @ Cleveland State +10.9 130.7 86% 53–56 ✓
Wyoming @ Tulane +5.0 144.5 68% 64–63 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +24.8 157.9 90% 68–87 ✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.1 150.1 64% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.