Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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21–9 on winners spread MAE 8.7 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ USC +7.9 139.5 81% 69–80 ✓
Denver @ Montana +4.8 145.9 55% 73–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Boston College +12.5 141.6 84% 52–82 ✓
Liberty @ Kansas State -6.4 135.7 27% 67–65 ✓
Ohio @ Texas State +2.0 147.1 60% 65–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ New Mexico +20.7 154.7 89% 68–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Montana State +11.9 150.6 85% 59–79 ✓
Drake @ Vanderbilt +0.3 138.0 39% 81–70 ✗
Radford @ Chicago State -12.9 144.9 15% 63–48 ✓
Hampton @ Duquesne -2.3 131.8 38% 64–59 ✓
Siena @ Miami (OH) -0.1 145.9 51% 58–70 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Ball State -8.6 141.4 32% 61–63 ✗
Howard @ UMBC -3.0 144.4 42% 77–95 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana -6.4 150.2 25% 98–86 ✓
Drexel @ Purdue Fort Wayne +3.2 143.4 65% 81–87 ✓
Boise State @ South Dakota State -6.0 150.9 26% 83–82 ✓
Memphis @ UConn +1.8 142.9 61% 99–97 ✗
Illinois State @ George Washington +0.2 147.8 52% 64–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Louisiana Tech +5.5 143.2 64% 79–85 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama A&M +3.9 148.0 48% 88–83 ✗
Mercer @ Jacksonville +6.5 144.5 74% 90–89 ✗
Denver @ Cal State Northridge +7.8 148.4 78% 60–89 ✓
Penn State @ Fordham -14.3 155.8 13% 85–66 ✓
High Point @ Old Dominion -12.4 141.9 14% 73–67 ✓
Longwood @ Kansas State +0.2 139.5 51% 64–80 ✓
Colorado @ Michigan State -1.1 144.5 50% 56–72 ✗
Merrimack @ UMass Lowell +8.1 136.6 78% 74–81 ✓
Michigan @ Virginia Tech -8.6 139.8 19% 75–63 ✓
Long Island University @ Winthrop +4.2 146.4 70% 65–87 ✓
Clemson @ San Francisco +0.1 141.1 48% 70–55 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.