They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–12 on winners spread MAE 9.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +9.2 148.8 77% 78–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill +7.2 133.9 78% 65–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +19.5 140.8 89% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo +1.4 155.2 62% 81–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State +26.0 153.1 91% 69–102 ✓
Cornell @ Iona +2.6 148.5 58% 84–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Boston College +0.3 142.7 54% 74–76 ✓
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley +13.8 147.8 87% 77–97 ✓
Utah Tech @ Montana +9.0 146.3 76% 66–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas +26.4 142.0 91% 35–109 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana +4.9 151.3 72% 77–87 ✓
Oregon State @ North Texas +4.2 130.7 69% 55–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis +2.7 142.7 63% 67–81 ✓
UTSA @ Troy +14.5 143.3 87% 72–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama +6.2 137.6 71% 63–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian -0.0 128.8 43% 74–73 ✓
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +2.5 126.3 51% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Liberty +2.7 132.6 61% 58–62 ✓
Xavier @ South Carolina -1.2 146.0 45% 75–66 ✓
UTEP @ San José State -5.4 137.3 36% 65–71 ✗
Auburn @ Iowa State -8.5 140.3 22% 83–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss -3.0 144.4 41% 82–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis +6.3 143.6 72% 76–55 ✗
Little Rock @ Illinois +18.3 145.7 87% 34–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State -8.9 133.3 22% 71–48 ✓
Dayton @ North Carolina +6.9 153.0 72% 90–92 ✓
Drexel @ Chicago State -17.5 136.8 12% 83–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Siena -3.9 142.5 34% 75–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion -5.2 135.9 22% 67–54 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois -1.4 144.9 44% 77–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy +2.3 147.6 59% 63–44 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb +4.0 139.0 65% 69–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Fordham -7.8 136.0 21% 85–64 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer -2.3 150.5 36% 75–72 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +2.0 130.4 60% 73–76 ✓
Creighton @ San Diego State -1.8 140.4 32% 53–71 ✗
Georgia State @ Austin Peay +2.1 144.3 56% 50–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond -8.9 141.7 23% 65–62 ✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman -0.7 136.3 45% 67–79 ✗
UConn @ Colorado -6.4 146.3 25% 72–73 ✗
Clemson @ Penn State +2.5 150.1 59% 75–67 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech -2.2 144.2 44% 54–68 ✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State -6.9 154.8 24% 97–85 ✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley +15.3 139.9 87% 74–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon -2.1 142.8 42% 70–80 ✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State -1.7 151.0 42% 75–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State +7.4 149.7 78% 66–79 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan State -2.5 149.6 44% 71–63 ✓
NJIT @ Cleveland State +13.2 129.9 88% 53–56 ✓
Wyoming @ Tulane +4.0 144.7 71% 64–63 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +26.8 155.3 90% 68–87 ✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.3 151.2 68% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.