Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–6 on winners spread MAE 8.6 30 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Grambling @ USC +8.7 138.5 85% 69–80 ✓
Denver @ Montana +5.4 143.6 75% 73–83 ✓
Old Dominion @ Boston College +13.4 139.8 86% 52–82 ✓
Liberty @ Kansas State -5.6 132.5 32% 67–65 ✓
Ohio @ Texas State +0.2 143.2 57% 65–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ New Mexico +20.6 156.4 90% 68–99 ✓
Southern Miss @ Montana State +11.5 147.9 84% 59–79 ✓
Drake @ Vanderbilt -1.6 133.7 36% 81–70 ✓
Radford @ Chicago State -11.0 141.0 15% 63–48 ✓
Hampton @ Duquesne -0.8 128.7 54% 64–59 ✓
Siena @ Miami (OH) +0.9 140.8 61% 58–70 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Ball State -8.2 143.1 33% 61–63 ✗
Howard @ UMBC -4.1 141.3 38% 77–95 ✗
UAB @ Louisiana -7.5 145.7 24% 98–86 ✓
Drexel @ Purdue Fort Wayne +2.9 142.2 64% 81–87 ✓
Boise State @ South Dakota State -7.5 150.1 21% 83–82 ✓
Memphis @ UConn +4.0 140.5 58% 99–97 ✗
Illinois State @ George Washington +0.3 145.1 59% 64–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Louisiana Tech +7.7 146.6 70% 79–85 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Alabama A&M +3.6 142.8 51% 88–83 ✗
Mercer @ Jacksonville +5.1 142.7 67% 90–89 ✗
Denver @ Cal State Northridge +8.6 147.8 76% 60–89 ✓
Penn State @ Fordham -14.8 156.5 14% 85–66 ✓
High Point @ Old Dominion -12.2 139.5 14% 73–67 ✓
Longwood @ Kansas State +1.3 138.5 56% 64–80 ✓
Colorado @ Michigan State -0.3 146.4 55% 56–72 ✗
Merrimack @ UMass Lowell +7.8 133.8 82% 74–81 ✓
Michigan @ Virginia Tech -6.8 136.7 24% 75–63 ✓
Long Island University @ Winthrop +6.3 146.4 83% 65–87 ✓
Clemson @ San Francisco -0.5 138.1 40% 70–55 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.