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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–11 on winners spread MAE 9.6 52 games

Matchup	Spread	Total	Home win	Result	Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga	+9.8	148.3	82%	78–85	✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill	+5.9	136.4	73%	65–67	✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia	+15.5	139.7	88%	57–83	✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo	+1.0	163.3	61%	81–82	✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State	+24.4	158.5	90%	69–102	✓
Cornell @ Iona	-0.5	148.0	43%	84–68	✓
Missouri State @ Boston College	+0.3	143.3	55%	74–76	✓
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley	+11.7	147.8	85%	77–97	✓
Utah Tech @ Montana	+9.6	144.6	82%	66–69	✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas	+21.5	143.6	91%	35–109	✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana	+1.0	157.7	53%	77–87	✓
Oregon State @ North Texas	+3.7	125.6	75%	55–58	✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis	+1.9	145.8	52%	67–81	✓
UTSA @ Troy	+13.8	145.0	86%	72–86	✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama	+7.3	136.8	80%	63–84	✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian	-1.6	132.2	37%	74–73	✓
Central Michigan @ Minnesota	+4.3	122.1	75%	65–68	✓
McNeese @ Liberty	+2.3	130.6	57%	58–62	✓
Xavier @ South Carolina	-0.4	144.4	47%	75–66	✓
UTEP @ San José State	-6.1	136.2	43%	65–71	✗
Auburn @ Iowa State	-8.1	145.8	18%	83–81	✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss	-2.2	142.0	34%	82–74	✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis	+5.1	144.7	73%	76–55	✗
Little Rock @ Illinois	+18.8	147.8	89%	34–92	✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State	-9.1	133.6	21%	71–48	✓
Dayton @ North Carolina	+8.0	153.1	75%	90–92	✓
Drexel @ Chicago State	-16.6	139.1	12%	83–71	✓
Jacksonville @ Siena	-5.3	140.5	29%	75–64	✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion	-7.9	133.3	17%	67–54	✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois	-0.6	144.9	43%	77–72	✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy	+0.5	148.1	49%	63–44	✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb	+5.9	137.7	72%	69–73	✓
San Francisco @ Fordham	-9.3	136.0	19%	85–64	✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer	-2.2	147.1	34%	75–72	✓
Hampton @ High Point	+4.5	129.7	69%	73–76	✓
Creighton @ San Diego State	-0.9	144.3	40%	53–71	✗
Georgia State @ Austin Peay	+0.9	141.5	53%	50–62	✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond	-10.1	144.1	22%	65–62	✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman	-1.3	139.0	43%	67–79	✗
UConn @ Colorado	-7.2	145.0	28%	72–73	✗
Clemson @ Penn State	+1.3	145.5	44%	75–67	✗
Denver @ Utah Tech	-1.3	144.8	47%	54–68	✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State	-7.5	158.8	19%	97–85	✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley	+13.3	138.1	86%	74–77	✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon	-1.8	140.0	45%	70–80	✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State	-1.5	150.9	47%	75–55	✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State	+6.8	146.8	78%	66–79	✓
Memphis @ Michigan State	-1.2	148.8	53%	71–63	✓
NJIT @ Cleveland State	+12.3	130.7	85%	53–56	✓
Wyoming @ Tulane	+4.0	144.1	68%	64–63	✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky	+21.5	161.4	90%	68–87	✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne	+6.2	148.1	68%	69–56	✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.