And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–18 on winners spread MAE 10.4 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Northwestern @ Butler -0.1 135.2 53% 69–71 ✗
Kennesaw State @ UC Irvine +9.7 149.9 80% 59–76 ✓
Davidson @ Providence +4.8 141.5 62% 69–58 ✗
Northern Iowa @ North Texas +5.1 126.2 70% 48–68 ✓
Saint Mary's @ USC -4.0 139.5 32% 71–36 ✓
Mississippi State @ UNLV -9.0 148.3 22% 80–58 ✓
Kent State @ Towson -1.9 128.0 43% 65–54 ✓
Arizona State @ New Mexico +2.1 155.3 61% 85–82 ✗
Providence @ Indiana -0.2 137.5 52% 73–89 ✗
Alcorn State @ South Alabama +16.6 131.4 90% 65–74 ✓
Colgate @ App State -0.7 131.0 51% 50–72 ✗
Dartmouth @ Boston College +19.8 145.4 88% 88–83 ✗
Minnesota @ Wake Forest -0.5 127.9 49% 51–57 ✗
Bowling Green @ Weber State +0.6 141.7 50% 70–73 ✓
Valparaiso @ DePaul +15.3 151.1 85% 70–89 ✓
TCU @ Colorado State -3.3 136.5 37% 72–76 ✗
Merrimack @ Troy +12.8 134.6 78% 72–68 ✗
Maine @ Elon +5.3 139.3 65% 69–56 ✗
Niagara @ Binghamton -2.3 140.4 37% 65–62 ✓
VMI @ George Washington +12.5 146.8 88% 64–77 ✓
Tarleton State @ Iona +4.3 129.4 77% 51–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Ohio State +4.4 141.4 52% 91–90 ✗
Arizona @ West Virginia -2.4 150.8 38% 76–83 ✗
Tennessee Tech @ Vanderbilt +14.4 153.0 88% 56–87 ✓
Morehead State @ Cleveland State +4.4 129.4 51% 71–69 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Eastern Illinois +3.9 140.0 61% 59–72 ✓
Wichita State @ Florida +9.5 152.3 78% 51–88 ✓
NC State @ BYU +2.8 146.5 60% 61–72 ✓
Pepperdine @ New Mexico State +4.3 136.8 65% 82–70 ✗
West Georgia @ Samford +15.5 149.4 87% 65–86 ✓
Sam Houston @ UNC Wilmington +0.1 150.6 67% 60–69 ✓
George Mason @ James Madison +3.5 143.0 60% 66–61 ✗
Holy Cross @ Virginia +11.6 126.3 84% 41–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Washington -2.5 140.9 39% 69–76 ✗
Long Island University @ Lafayette +3.6 139.8 68% 56–75 ✓
Navy @ Pennsylvania +4.7 146.4 61% 86–78 ✗
Indiana State @ Arkansas State +4.4 154.8 69% 81–86 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Belmont +3.4 148.3 70% 74–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ East Carolina +9.6 151.6 85% 69–93 ✓
Oklahoma @ Louisville +0.5 145.7 50% 69–64 ✗
Ole Miss @ Purdue +1.6 142.0 65% 78–80 ✓
Utah State @ North Texas -6.1 133.7 30% 61–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.