That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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58–15 on winners spread MAE 10.7 73 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Omaha @ James Madison +4.5 146.2 62% 77–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ South Carolina Upstate +11.2 139.6 86% 67–82 ✓
Boston University @ Penn State +16.9 137.0 88% 87–96 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ Florida State +23.2 155.8 90% 59–89 ✓
Old Dominion @ Villanova +22.4 142.5 89% 75–89 ✓
Wright State @ Stetson -2.5 145.0 35% 79–62 ✓
Rice @ Florida Gulf Coast +7.1 150.0 73% 63–78 ✓
Houston Christian @ Bellarmine +0.8 135.1 50% 69–74 ✓
Hampton @ Maryland Eastern Shore -2.2 132.3 23% 74–68 ✓
Chicago State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +10.0 143.7 84% 77–90 ✓
Quinnipiac @ UCF +13.1 151.2 85% 91–102 ✓
Campbell @ Wake Forest +14.6 156.5 88% 51–99 ✓
Lehigh @ Marist +8.6 124.4 73% 55–78 ✓
Coppin State @ Rider +7.0 135.7 74% 68–65 ✗
George Mason @ Florida Atlantic -1.1 142.2 44% 74–65 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Central Arkansas +2.1 137.4 59% 60–81 ✓
Murray State @ George Washington +6.7 166.5 78% 96–95 ✗
Temple @ Princeton -2.5 142.4 37% 79–75 ✓
Kansas State @ Indiana +7.6 155.1 67% 69–86 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Texas A&M +26.6 153.1 91% 84–120 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Cal Poly +3.9 151.8 72% 84–68 ✗
South Carolina State @ Missouri +26.9 152.0 91% 66–98 ✓
Eastern Washington @ North Texas +12.2 133.3 85% 71–79 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Austin Peay +9.7 141.6 84% 59–77 ✓
Washington State @ Arizona State +4.9 145.5 71% 94–100 ✓
Auburn @ Michigan +3.8 157.8 59% 72–102 ✓
Winthrop @ Nebraska +9.3 153.9 78% 73–80 ✓
New Mexico State @ UC Irvine -2.6 138.8 44% 57–45 ✓
UTSA @ Georgia Southern +2.4 147.3 60% 77–64 ✗
Oakland @ Montana +4.3 157.8 75% 95–87 ✗
Portland State @ Utah Tech -0.1 150.0 56% 68–63 ✓
Maryland @ Gonzaga +13.0 146.6 84% 61–100 ✓
Ole Miss @ Iowa +4.0 139.8 60% 69–74 ✓
UCLA @ California -4.1 137.9 30% 72–80 ✗
San Diego State @ Oregon -0.5 142.5 52% 97–80 ✓
UNLV @ Alabama +8.9 172.1 79% 76–115 ✓
Utah @ Grand Canyon +1.6 154.0 65% 58–68 ✓
Saint Francis @ Troy +16.7 157.4 87% 64–74 ✓
Bowling Green @ VMI -10.7 148.3 14% 81–48 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Western Kentucky -9.4 162.4 20% 83–78 ✓
Towson @ UC San Diego +2.6 125.7 58% 73–87 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Stonehill +7.9 142.0 82% 75–64 ✗
Syracuse @ Iowa State +8.6 142.0 80% 64–95 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Texas Tech +15.6 150.8 88% 50–82 ✓
Brown @ New Hampshire +1.5 133.4 40% 59–47 ✗
Belmont @ Toledo -5.4 146.6 32% 87–72 ✓
Buffalo @ Bucknell -7.2 137.5 24% 73–71 ✓
San José State @ Loyola Chicago -3.8 132.3 42% 63–51 ✓
Miami (OH) @ UNC Greensboro -9.5 151.3 20% 82–71 ✓
Omaha @ Florida International +3.2 150.6 65% 61–74 ✓
App State @ Mercer +8.8 141.4 78% 67–75 ✓
UIC @ Robert Morris +3.6 141.7 63% 74–88 ✓
Wofford @ Northern Kentucky +4.2 144.1 71% 83–93 ✓
Army @ Fairleigh Dickinson +3.7 147.4 60% 81–73 ✗
USC @ Arizona State -5.3 160.6 31% 88–75 ✓
Liberty @ Bradley -4.6 142.5 31% 64–74 ✗
South Florida @ VCU +0.7 164.3 55% 66–78 ✓
North Dakota State @ Jacksonville State -4.8 136.2 30% 56–43 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Valparaiso +11.2 146.4 84% 64–56 ✗
Georgia State @ New Mexico State +12.2 134.6 83% 58–77 ✓
Notre Dame @ Houston +6.4 129.8 74% 56–66 ✓
Lipscomb @ Marshall +8.3 150.5 78% 90–67 ✗
Navy @ Gardner-Webb -10.1 150.4 17% 84–51 ✓
Harvard @ Boston College +6.0 132.8 74% 60–73 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Tulsa +4.7 131.6 60% 60–63 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Rice -0.2 148.5 57% 62–81 ✗
Vermont @ Princeton -6.6 146.7 32% 79–74 ✓
Wagner @ Manhattan -1.1 150.5 59% 103–101 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Colorado State +0.8 156.2 43% 66–64 ✗
Seton Hall @ Washington State -7.9 138.3 23% 75–61 ✓
Samford @ Utah Valley +5.3 144.8 74% 45–89 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Air Force -4.7 148.9 36% 71–53 ✓
Sam Houston @ Idaho State +1.5 133.1 56% 84–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.