We need the funk. "Give Up the Funk" - Parliament
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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41–14 on winners spread MAE 10.7 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Eastern Michigan @ Louisville +22.5 151.3 89% 46–87 ✓
James Madison @ Florida International +5.3 152.4 67% 80–72 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Northern Kentucky +13.3 147.7 85% 71–82 ✓
Bellarmine @ The Citadel +3.1 161.1 56% 70–58 ✗
Kansas City @ Lindenwood +6.5 147.4 71% 67–80 ✓
NJIT @ Cincinnati +16.9 134.6 87% 67–94 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Central Connecticut +11.5 133.5 85% 106–108 ✓
Princeton @ Bradley +1.0 136.5 56% 64–88 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.4 154.6 83% 88–93 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Mississippi State +3.3 152.3 63% 78–81 ✓
Murray State @ McNeese +3.2 161.2 57% 60–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Illinois +24.9 155.2 90% 73–87 ✓
Auburn @ Oregon -6.0 145.6 26% 84–73 ✓
Yale @ Akron +1.5 153.4 54% 97–94 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Arkansas State +6.1 147.0 67% 63–74 ✓
Cal Poly @ Northern Arizona -2.7 144.6 35% 87–93 ✗
Radford @ SMU +29.0 153.2 91% 72–89 ✓
Long Island University @ Missouri State +4.5 141.7 68% 75–61 ✗
Florida Atlantic @ Loyola Marymount -0.1 143.1 52% 76–65 ✓
UTSA @ Abilene Christian -0.0 137.2 50% 50–61 ✗
Louisiana @ UC Davis +12.2 133.4 82% 56–77 ✓
Gonzaga @ Alabama -4.8 153.9 32% 95–85 ✓
Denver @ Arizona +20.0 151.3 88% 73–103 ✓
San Diego State @ Michigan +6.1 152.0 69% 54–94 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas +3.3 137.3 67% 87–86 ✗
UNLV @ Maryland -0.1 160.7 48% 67–74 ✗
Stony Brook @ Bethune-Cookman +1.6 149.3 55% 61–54 ✗
Towson @ Liberty +4.3 129.2 70% 72–69 ✗
Michigan State @ East Carolina -15.8 140.7 12% 89–56 ✓
Rutgers @ Notre Dame +6.6 141.1 75% 63–68 ✓
Pacific @ Jacksonville -2.0 132.1 37% 68–53 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Delaware +0.8 144.2 58% 60–73 ✓
Tulsa @ San José State -7.7 146.4 24% 81–51 ✓
Creighton @ Iowa State +7.1 149.1 75% 60–78 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Army -3.7 140.8 35% 84–67 ✓
NC State @ Boise State -2.8 146.5 32% 81–70 ✓
Rhode Island @ Vermont -0.5 150.2 44% 80–65 ✓
Samford @ Georgia State -6.8 140.0 28% 78–63 ✓
Syracuse @ Kansas +1.8 135.7 52% 60–71 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +8.7 133.8 78% 59–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Loyola Chicago -14.2 130.2 14% 72–51 ✓
St. John's @ Baylor -5.1 156.1 28% 96–81 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Oral Roberts -5.1 156.9 28% 83–91 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Ohio -8.4 141.7 19% 70–58 ✓
UC San Diego @ Bradley -5.7 141.6 35% 87–77 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ McNeese +5.5 149.3 70% 62–72 ✓
Seton Hall @ USC -0.0 141.1 53% 81–83 ✗
Tennessee @ Houston -0.5 128.8 44% 76–73 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ North Carolina +5.0 144.0 70% 70–85 ✓
Utah Valley @ South Dakota State +6.7 150.5 75% 75–52 ✗
Drexel @ Morgan State -0.0 143.3 39% 71–66 ✓
Tennessee State @ UNC Asheville +4.3 148.8 68% 75–73 ✗
William & Mary @ Abilene Christian -6.1 138.9 28% 92–58 ✓
San Diego @ California Baptist +6.9 137.5 75% 61–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Ohio State +22.4 143.9 89% 60–113 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.