Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–12 on winners spread MAE 9.5 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Tennessee State @ Chattanooga +8.6 148.2 78% 78–85 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Stonehill +6.9 132.5 74% 65–67 ✓
New Hampshire @ Columbia +17.7 140.4 90% 57–83 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Buffalo +0.5 155.8 51% 81–82 ✓
Green Bay @ Ohio State +23.6 154.4 91% 69–102 ✓
Cornell @ Iona +2.5 147.2 58% 84–68 ✗
Missouri State @ Boston College +0.9 141.5 50% 74–76 ✓
Le Moyne @ UT Rio Grande Valley +12.6 148.0 87% 77–97 ✓
Utah Tech @ Montana +8.6 145.5 79% 66–69 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Arkansas +22.5 142.9 91% 35–109 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Indiana +4.8 151.5 71% 77–87 ✓
Oregon State @ North Texas +4.8 131.3 71% 55–58 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Saint Louis +1.7 140.8 58% 67–81 ✓
UTSA @ Troy +12.7 143.3 87% 72–86 ✓
Incarnate Word @ South Alabama +5.7 137.9 73% 63–84 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Houston Christian -1.2 130.1 40% 74–73 ✓
Central Michigan @ Minnesota +2.7 125.1 55% 65–68 ✓
McNeese @ Liberty +3.6 131.9 67% 58–62 ✓
Xavier @ South Carolina -0.8 143.7 41% 75–66 ✓
UTEP @ San José State -5.1 136.9 26% 65–71 ✗
Auburn @ Iowa State -7.7 143.4 22% 83–81 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Southern Miss -3.4 142.2 37% 82–74 ✓
Norfolk State @ UC Davis +6.1 143.1 73% 76–55 ✗
Little Rock @ Illinois +16.7 144.0 87% 34–92 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Long Beach State -8.3 133.2 21% 71–48 ✓
Dayton @ North Carolina +6.8 154.7 76% 90–92 ✓
Drexel @ Chicago State -15.9 137.7 13% 83–71 ✓
Jacksonville @ Siena -4.3 140.7 32% 75–64 ✓
Duquesne @ Old Dominion -5.6 136.8 26% 67–54 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois -1.2 142.7 45% 77–72 ✓
Tulsa @ Detroit Mercy +2.3 145.8 60% 63–44 ✗
SE Louisiana @ Gardner-Webb +4.1 138.7 68% 69–73 ✓
San Francisco @ Fordham -8.1 134.6 22% 85–64 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Mercer -2.7 148.4 40% 75–72 ✓
Hampton @ High Point +2.3 130.6 61% 73–76 ✓
Creighton @ San Diego State -2.5 139.6 39% 53–71 ✗
Georgia State @ Austin Peay +1.6 141.4 60% 50–62 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Richmond -9.1 141.3 19% 65–62 ✓
North Dakota @ Bethune-Cookman -0.8 134.7 44% 67–79 ✗
UConn @ Colorado -5.6 145.3 29% 72–73 ✗
Clemson @ Penn State +2.5 148.5 62% 75–67 ✗
Denver @ Utah Tech -2.3 142.5 39% 54–68 ✗
Bryant @ Tennessee State -6.8 154.2 22% 97–85 ✓
West Georgia @ Utah Valley +13.2 140.3 86% 74–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Oregon -1.5 142.1 48% 70–80 ✗
South Dakota State @ Missouri State -1.8 149.7 40% 75–55 ✓
UT Arlington @ Murray State +7.5 150.2 80% 66–79 ✓
Memphis @ Michigan State -2.8 146.9 35% 71–63 ✓
NJIT @ Cleveland State +11.5 130.4 87% 53–56 ✓
Wyoming @ Tulane +3.6 141.6 64% 64–63 ✗
Western Kentucky @ Kentucky +22.5 155.8 90% 68–87 ✓
Radford @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.2 152.4 70% 69–56 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.