And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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47–20 on winners spread MAE 10.4 67 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Western Carolina @ Florida State +14.9 144.9 87% 57–91 ✓
Lehigh @ Saint Francis +5.7 144.9 73% 78–88 ✓
VMI @ Loyola Maryland +3.8 143.5 71% 67–70 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairleigh Dickinson -7.4 142.6 19% 78–76 ✓
Stanford @ Grand Canyon -6.6 142.0 26% 71–78 ✗
Wagner @ Georgetown +9.1 123.9 78% 41–66 ✓
Manhattan @ Virginia +12.3 131.1 87% 65–74 ✓
Coppin State @ Saint Joseph's +21.7 138.9 91% 54–83 ✓
Boise State @ Boston College -7.7 143.0 27% 61–63 ✗
North Dakota State @ Samford +13.9 152.7 86% 98–103 ✓
Alabama @ Houston +2.5 144.1 49% 85–80 ✗
Western Illinois @ South Alabama +12.0 131.4 76% 64–63 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Iowa +23.9 165.6 91% 77–110 ✓
Long Beach State @ UTEP +3.7 132.6 66% 44–70 ✓
Iowa State @ Dayton -1.9 143.5 41% 89–84 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Belmont +7.8 141.0 73% 77–63 ✗
Kansas @ Duke +7.5 142.7 72% 75–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ Pepperdine +5.9 132.7 71% 72–63 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Montana State +6.1 139.9 73% 59–85 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Utah +28.4 142.5 91% 48–94 ✓
California Baptist @ SMU +8.8 153.0 78% 77–79 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Northern Arizona +1.0 131.3 52% 72–68 ✗
Grambling @ Cal Poly +6.0 145.9 75% 79–82 ✓
Eastern Washington @ UC Santa Barbara +6.2 143.8 78% 51–67 ✓
Southern Utah @ UCLA +18.7 136.6 88% 43–88 ✓
Notre Dame @ Rutgers -1.3 148.5 45% 84–85 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ San José State -11.0 132.2 21% 64–69 ✗
Auburn @ North Carolina -3.3 164.3 34% 85–72 ✓
Furman @ Seattle U -0.7 134.9 45% 61–56 ✓
Fresno State @ Washington State +9.7 155.1 81% 73–84 ✓
Louisville @ Indiana +0.3 145.6 41% 89–61 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech +3.5 144.3 59% 69–78 ✓
Rhode Island @ Detroit Mercy -15.0 146.4 13% 81–75 ✓
Morgan State @ UMBC +5.0 149.1 72% 69–92 ✓
SE Louisiana @ North Dakota -1.5 137.7 49% 76–60 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Charleston +7.9 138.5 80% 64–79 ✓
UTSA @ Merrimack -0.8 131.7 41% 76–74 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Baylor +26.8 159.1 91% 60–91 ✓
Bryant @ Chattanooga +2.1 151.9 66% 76–84 ✓
Stony Brook @ Brown +10.1 140.3 81% 54–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Youngstown State +8.0 141.0 65% 73–62 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Charlotte +2.9 140.2 67% 75–55 ✗
Presbyterian @ Tennessee Tech -2.5 136.6 42% 75–90 ✗
Gonzaga @ West Virginia -14.9 145.7 20% 78–86 ✗
Colorado @ Iowa State +2.8 143.4 58% 71–99 ✓
Tulsa @ Georgia State +0.6 148.2 51% 71–74 ✓
Gardner-Webb @ Bethune-Cookman -6.4 140.1 29% 79–64 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee +24.9 132.9 90% 35–78 ✓
NJIT @ Morehead State +6.9 128.7 74% 78–69 ✗
West Georgia @ North Dakota State +3.7 137.8 68% 61–73 ✓
Sam Houston @ App State -6.6 140.1 28% 63–66 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Valparaiso +8.3 139.9 85% 82–87 ✓
Sacramento State @ Air Force +2.5 129.8 46% 63–61 ✗
San Diego State @ Oregon +2.8 138.5 67% 68–78 ✓
Massachusetts @ Harvard +1.0 147.7 50% 62–54 ✗
Canisius @ Robert Morris +14.6 138.5 89% 64–72 ✓
Bucknell @ Maryland +23.2 148.6 90% 67–91 ✓
Memphis @ Auburn +4.4 155.3 70% 76–90 ✓
UT Arlington @ Austin Peay +3.2 137.3 62% 68–58 ✗
Providence @ Oklahoma +2.5 135.6 66% 77–79 ✓
Ball State @ Richmond +3.3 132.4 63% 60–73 ✓
South Carolina @ Virginia Tech -3.3 139.1 38% 70–60 ✓
Tulane @ Belmont +2.8 147.6 61% 66–89 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Western Illinois -2.8 135.4 35% 86–75 ✓
Creighton @ Texas A&M +4.8 141.7 71% 73–77 ✓
Lindenwood @ Missouri +24.9 152.7 91% 61–81 ✓
South Dakota @ Nebraska +17.8 162.5 90% 79–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.