Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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35–17 on winners spread MAE 8.6 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ St. John's -1.9 148.5 39% 99–98 ✓
Bryant @ Stonehill -1.0 147.0 43% 66–67 ✗
NJIT @ Bucknell +16.4 143.3 89% 64–81 ✓
Niagara @ Kent State +11.8 137.9 84% 73–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Oakland +5.3 126.8 54% 68–64 ✗
Mercer @ South Carolina +16.9 146.2 89% 72–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas +10.0 160.6 78% 66–70 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +17.4 150.7 88% 51–79 ✓
Presbyterian @ Stephen F. Austin +4.2 127.3 54% 58–55 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Central Arkansas +3.8 146.4 55% 77–73 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +22.0 144.4 90% 56–84 ✓
Lindenwood @ Valparaiso +5.9 145.3 71% 64–77 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart +0.8 137.9 55% 54–67 ✓
UT Martin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +0.8 148.7 52% 77–81 ✓
Princeton @ Wright State +0.7 144.9 54% 62–80 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Ole Miss +19.2 143.8 88% 68–100 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nevada +1.3 147.8 51% 73–71 ✗
Tarleton State @ Michigan +37.3 145.0 91% 49–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +11.9 148.2 87% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +5.4 152.5 74% 81–96 ✓
Texas Tech @ Saint Joseph's -12.8 145.7 19% 77–78 ✗
Memphis @ San Francisco +9.7 146.3 61% 68–64 ✗
Oregon @ Oregon State +4.5 134.8 40% 78–75 ✗
Air Force @ California +18.4 136.0 89% 69–78 ✓
Virginia @ Tennessee +14.0 123.5 86% 42–64 ✓
La Salle @ UIC -3.2 149.8 35% 83–96 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.2 136.7 56% 54–74 ✓
Ohio @ Portland -6.1 147.9 29% 85–73 ✓
Drake @ Florida Atlantic +1.8 145.5 50% 75–63 ✗
Longwood @ UAB -3.2 139.0 35% 89–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Stetson -6.6 144.6 27% 71–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Florida International -5.7 147.4 30% 60–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ South Florida -3.1 148.2 39% 95–88 ✓
Miami @ Oklahoma State +1.4 154.1 61% 74–80 ✓
LSU @ Pittsburgh +11.0 143.9 81% 63–74 ✓
Illinois State @ McNeese -1.7 134.0 45% 68–76 ✗
Presbyterian @ Youngstown State +2.3 144.3 61% 67–42 ✗
James Madison @ UC San Diego -1.3 142.6 48% 67–73 ✗
Kansas City @ American University +0.4 128.0 57% 60–64 ✓
UCF @ Wisconsin +1.0 149.3 58% 70–86 ✓
Bradley @ Wright State +0.0 147.0 40% 77–74 ✗
Seton Hall @ Vanderbilt +3.4 136.8 72% 60–76 ✓
St. Thomas @ Wofford -7.7 133.7 31% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Coastal Carolina +0.4 130.7 55% 57–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida State -0.0 145.1 49% 69–78 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah +28.0 153.8 91% 53–84 ✓
Louisiana @ Liberty +18.6 131.4 86% 69–89 ✓
Monmouth @ Stephen F. Austin +8.9 129.0 74% 67–72 ✓
UT Martin @ Le Moyne -7.2 142.0 26% 53–65 ✗
Lamar @ Akron +9.2 151.7 83% 72–79 ✓
Campbell @ Ohio State +21.8 132.8 89% 60–104 ✓
Toledo @ Jacksonville State -5.2 152.5 29% 82–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.