Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–16 on winners spread MAE 8.7 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ St. John's -2.1 144.3 36% 99–98 ✓
Bryant @ Stonehill -6.0 145.3 33% 66–67 ✗
NJIT @ Bucknell +14.5 143.4 89% 64–81 ✓
Niagara @ Kent State +10.7 143.6 85% 73–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Oakland +6.4 128.9 60% 68–64 ✗
Mercer @ South Carolina +16.4 148.3 89% 72–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas +8.2 154.8 83% 66–70 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +18.0 147.5 88% 51–79 ✓
Presbyterian @ Stephen F. Austin +7.1 127.4 53% 58–55 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Central Arkansas +3.9 145.7 53% 77–73 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +22.3 146.1 90% 56–84 ✓
Lindenwood @ Valparaiso +4.3 143.1 78% 64–77 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart -0.9 136.0 51% 54–67 ✗
UT Martin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +1.5 149.0 58% 77–81 ✓
Princeton @ Wright State -2.4 143.0 48% 62–80 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Ole Miss +18.3 140.8 89% 68–100 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nevada +3.6 146.4 55% 73–71 ✗
Tarleton State @ Michigan +23.5 139.7 91% 49–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +14.0 147.2 89% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +6.8 150.3 77% 81–96 ✓
Texas Tech @ Saint Joseph's -12.9 146.4 18% 77–78 ✗
Memphis @ San Francisco +6.3 145.7 63% 68–64 ✗
Oregon @ Oregon State +1.5 138.9 34% 78–75 ✗
Air Force @ California +16.3 138.8 89% 69–78 ✓
Virginia @ Tennessee +13.2 121.4 87% 42–64 ✓
La Salle @ UIC -1.8 150.1 37% 83–96 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Florida Gulf Coast +1.4 135.5 59% 54–74 ✓
Ohio @ Portland -6.0 147.0 26% 85–73 ✓
Drake @ Florida Atlantic +0.8 142.9 45% 75–63 ✗
Longwood @ UAB -2.2 139.3 40% 89–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Stetson -5.8 143.8 26% 71–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Florida International -5.9 143.8 27% 60–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ South Florida -1.2 147.2 43% 95–88 ✓
Miami @ Oklahoma State +0.3 146.0 57% 74–80 ✓
LSU @ Pittsburgh +8.8 143.3 80% 63–74 ✓
Illinois State @ McNeese +0.3 134.1 54% 68–76 ✓
Presbyterian @ Youngstown State +4.2 142.4 62% 67–42 ✗
James Madison @ UC San Diego -3.5 140.0 40% 67–73 ✗
Kansas City @ American University +0.1 128.8 54% 60–64 ✓
UCF @ Wisconsin +1.6 146.8 58% 70–86 ✓
Bradley @ Wright State -3.9 145.2 36% 77–74 ✓
Seton Hall @ Vanderbilt +2.1 129.5 66% 60–76 ✓
St. Thomas @ Wofford -7.7 138.8 31% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Coastal Carolina +1.1 134.1 57% 57–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida State +0.5 146.3 60% 69–78 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah +26.3 152.9 91% 53–84 ✓
Louisiana @ Liberty +16.6 132.4 84% 69–89 ✓
Monmouth @ Stephen F. Austin +9.1 129.6 67% 67–72 ✓
UT Martin @ Le Moyne -8.8 140.3 26% 53–65 ✗
Lamar @ Akron +11.0 152.9 88% 72–79 ✓
Campbell @ Ohio State +21.7 134.8 89% 60–104 ✓
Toledo @ Jacksonville State -5.4 151.6 27% 82–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.