Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–18 on winners spread MAE 9.0 52 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Baylor @ St. John's -1.9 149.8 48% 99–98 ✓
Bryant @ Stonehill -1.6 145.9 42% 66–67 ✗
NJIT @ Bucknell +17.1 143.7 89% 64–81 ✓
Niagara @ Kent State +13.0 140.7 86% 73–76 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Oakland +4.6 125.9 56% 68–64 ✗
Mercer @ South Carolina +17.3 147.2 89% 72–84 ✓
Syracuse @ Texas +11.4 160.4 81% 66–70 ✓
Radford @ Clemson +16.1 150.2 87% 51–79 ✓
Presbyterian @ Stephen F. Austin +6.8 132.5 68% 58–55 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Central Arkansas +3.2 144.7 52% 77–73 ✗
East Texas A&M @ Oklahoma +19.1 142.7 89% 56–84 ✓
Lindenwood @ Valparaiso +4.6 146.0 69% 64–77 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Sacred Heart -0.3 139.6 53% 54–67 ✗
UT Martin @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +0.8 147.2 49% 77–81 ✓
Princeton @ Wright State +0.2 144.4 47% 62–80 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Ole Miss +19.9 145.3 88% 68–100 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Nevada +2.2 149.1 63% 73–71 ✗
Tarleton State @ Michigan +39.1 144.1 91% 49–72 ✓
Grambling @ New Mexico +12.1 146.0 86% 58–80 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Washington State +5.2 152.3 70% 81–96 ✓
Texas Tech @ Saint Joseph's -13.8 147.6 15% 77–78 ✗
Memphis @ San Francisco +8.6 146.2 72% 68–64 ✗
Oregon @ Oregon State +4.7 132.6 52% 78–75 ✗
Air Force @ California +18.9 136.0 89% 69–78 ✓
Virginia @ Tennessee +12.7 130.7 86% 42–64 ✓
La Salle @ UIC -2.7 150.6 36% 83–96 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ Florida Gulf Coast +2.4 137.4 60% 54–74 ✓
Ohio @ Portland -4.2 146.2 32% 85–73 ✓
Drake @ Florida Atlantic +2.0 148.5 56% 75–63 ✗
Longwood @ UAB -3.3 136.8 36% 89–81 ✓
East Carolina @ Stetson -6.0 145.0 29% 71–64 ✓
Northeastern @ Florida International -6.1 144.7 32% 60–58 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ South Florida -2.2 145.7 41% 95–88 ✓
Miami @ Oklahoma State -0.2 154.2 46% 74–80 ✗
LSU @ Pittsburgh +9.6 142.8 80% 63–74 ✓
Illinois State @ McNeese -0.9 133.9 48% 68–76 ✗
Presbyterian @ Youngstown State +2.0 146.0 59% 67–42 ✗
James Madison @ UC San Diego -2.1 145.8 40% 67–73 ✗
Kansas City @ American University +0.4 133.3 57% 60–64 ✓
UCF @ Wisconsin +1.8 147.1 57% 70–86 ✓
Bradley @ Wright State -2.7 148.8 35% 77–74 ✓
Seton Hall @ Vanderbilt +2.1 132.4 66% 60–76 ✓
St. Thomas @ Wofford -7.9 139.3 22% 73–81 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Coastal Carolina +0.9 135.0 56% 57–71 ✓
Temple @ Florida State -0.5 143.7 43% 69–78 ✗
Utah Tech @ Utah +30.5 153.9 91% 53–84 ✓
Louisiana @ Liberty +19.4 129.9 87% 69–89 ✓
Monmouth @ Stephen F. Austin +11.1 128.6 80% 67–72 ✓
UT Martin @ Le Moyne -7.7 140.9 25% 53–65 ✗
Lamar @ Akron +10.3 151.3 81% 72–79 ✓
Campbell @ Ohio State +22.0 133.3 89% 60–104 ✓
Toledo @ Jacksonville State -4.8 152.6 30% 82–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.